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Calculating the outcome of a trade-up is a matter of solving the linear equation where the output float equals the minimum float plus the average input float times the range. If you are using fillers with a high float, you are almost guaranteed to fail because they skew the average too far toward the "dirty" end of the spectrum. You need to hunt for fillers with a float below 0.07, which is often difficult because those skins are in high demand for this exact reason. Many people fail these contracts because they ignore the decimal places and only look at the wear category, leading to expensive mistakes. It is a high-risk game that requires a lot of preparation and a healthy bankroll to survive the inevitable statistical misses.
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